How is it possible? That is the question that keeps coming up as Sweden goes to the polls in a situation where the blocs are almost evenly matched. The answer may lie not only in the politics of the past four years, but in the demographic change that over a few decades has changed who votes – and which political forces can mobilize them.

On election day, the blocs are in practice evenly matched. The latest opinion polls show a narrow lead for the red-green parties, but the margin is so small that the election may well be decided by just a few tenths of a percentage point – and above all by voter turnout and the final push by the smaller parties.

In articles, interviews and in completely ordinary conversations between people, the question is asked: How is it possible?

How is it possible that the Tidö parties – which over the past four years have succeeded in bringing down shootings, explosions, unemployment, fuel prices and inflation, while the country, businesses and taxpayers have all become better off economically – cannot win people’s confidence to continue along the path they have embarked on? How self-destructive are voters if they want to return to open borders, criminal gangs and a weaker economy?

The answer can be found in the old saying: “As you make your bed, so you must lie in it.”

“A good Muslim does not vote in democratic elections!”

Since the turn of the millennium, Sweden has handed out nearly two million citizenships, the vast majority of them to individuals from severely dysfunctional, Muslim cultures where democracy is regarded at best as something suspect, and at worst as something that should be abolished and replaced by sharia. The message from the imams has been clear: “A good Muslim does not vote in democratic elections!”

Combine this attitude with a lack of integration, strong clan solidarity and blind obedience to their own authorities, and you have the answer to why voter turnout has generally been low within this group.

But now something has changed.

The Social Democrats’ unholy alliance with Islamists is, after a quarter of a century, producing results, and is complemented by election campaigns conducted in Arabic, with lies intended to frighten immigrants and convince them that their only chance of continuing to enjoy the good life is to vote for the left.

Scare propaganda aims to win Muslim votes

Advance voting increased by 93 percent

The campaigns appear to have produced results. According to the Swedish Election Authority, advance voting in so-called vulnerable areas has increased by 79 percent, while the corresponding figure for particularly vulnerable areas is 93 percent. These areas consist almost exclusively of people with an immigrant background.

As always, numbers are decisive. More than one in six voters in the Swedish parliamentary election is a citizen born outside the country. To be eligible to vote in municipal elections, one does not even have to be a citizen; it is sufficient to have been registered as a resident in Sweden for at least three years.

An estimated 500,000 Muslims will vote in the parliamentary election. Surveys show that eight out of ten of these vote either for the Social Democrats or the Left Party – which means that S and V can increase by 2.5 or even 3 percent, solely because their scare campaigns have mobilized unintegrated anti-democrats to vote for them.

The Left Party is campaigning in Somali to reach voters who do not speak Swedish.  Photo: Screenshot from social media.

Multiple identities – multiple voting rights

Then, of course, we have the small detail of multiple identities. No one knows how many people are actually in Sweden, or whether the number of citizenships corresponds to the number of citizens. As early as 2016, journalist Nuri Kino revealed that it was relatively common for one and the same person to apply for asylum in Sweden under several identities, giving the person in question access to as many benefits – and eventually voting cards – as identities.

The record Kino found was eight identities: Muhammed could therefore be the same person as Mohamed, Mohammad, Mohammed, Muhammad, Mohamad, Mohamed and Mohamad – all living at the same address but with separate personal identity numbers, benefit payments – and voting rights.

Authorities and politicians have known about this for ten years. No one has taken action.

Left-wing politics hopeless without immigrants

So when someone claims that “Swedish voters vote for left-wing politics,” this is what one should bear in mind: Without the support of welfare-dependent, Islamist, democracy-despising, unintegrated and easily manipulated immigrant groups, left-wing politics would be hopeless. The Tidö parties would then have won a landslide victory. Now the outcome is considerably more uncertain.

The absurd thing is that the current government has largely itself to blame. Instead of introducing a moratorium on new citizenships and beginning the process of deportations, the Tidö parties have handed out 200,000 new citizenships during the current term of government. In 2025, the three most common countries of origin were Syria, Afghanistan and Eritrea.

The corresponding figures for the Reinfeldt I government (2006–2010) were 130,000, and under Reinfeldt II (2010–2014), the right wing government handed out 175,000 new citizenships.

What was it we said again? “As you make your bed, so you must lie in it.”